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CONSENSUS CHOICE
OCTOBER 7, 2018
OCTOBER 7, 2018
Here is the Full Card in Morning Line order as well as the Betting Line as a basis of comparison. Things to consider are Top 3 ML horses that are not getting supported, contenders who are outside the Top 3 who do receive support and ML horses 10/1 or higher who get single digit support.
Also certain odds patterns seem to perform better than others.There are also patterns that consistently do poorly. However, even patterns that are not strong, improve their chances when they receive strong betting support. Which is why there is a third empty column called Betting Odds so that you can measure the first 2 columns of Opinions vs. actual money invested. The betting is not invincible and is simply another interesting factor to consider, especially when it differs significantly from the opinions of the Morning Line or handicappers.
Good Luck!
| ************ | ****************************** | *************** | ************* | **************** |
| BELMONT RACE 1 | ||||
| PG # | Horse | ML Odds | CC Odds | Betting Odds |
| 3 | Lone Pioneer | 6/5 | 5/2 | |
| 1A | Eliav @ | 8/5 | 8/5 | |
| 1 | Golden Brew @ | SCRATCHED | ||
| 4 | The Glominator | 5 | 8 | |
| 2 | Pollo | 8 | 8 | |
| 5 | Three Outlaws | 10 | 4 | |
| 6 | T. Jay's Last Call | 12 | 10 | |
| ************ | ****************************** | *************** | ************* | **************** |
| BELMONT RACE 2 | ||||
| PG # | Horse | ML Odds | CC Odds | Betting Odds |
| 3 | Amazing Audrey | 5/2 | 3 | |
| 5 | Muchacha Uno | 4 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | My Girl Annie | 4 | 10 | SCRATCHED |
| 10 | Classic Lady | 6 | 5 | |
| 1 | Free Kitty | 6 | 6 | |
| 4 | Hera | 8 | 6 | |
| 6 | Miss Jen | 8 | 8 | |
| 11 | Codrington | 10 | 20 | |
| 9 | Naples Legacy | 12 | 8 | |
| 7 | Sunshine Gal | 15 | 20 | |
| 8 | Lemon Zip | 15 | 20 | |
| ************ | ****************************** | *************** | ************* | **************** |
| BELMONT RACE 3 | ||||
| PG # | Horse | ML Odds | CC Odds | Betting Odds |
| 7 | Fooch | 8/5 | 9/5 | |
| 8 | Grandmas Favorite | 5/2 | 5 | |
| 2 | Siena Magic | 3 | 4 | |
| 6 | Clyde's Runner | 8 | 5 | |
| 4 | Freeload | 12 | 20 | SCRATCHED |
| 5 | Telecommunication | 15 | 4 | |
| 1 | Vettel | 15 | 20 | |
| 3 | Da King and I | 20 | 20 | |
| ************ | ****************************** | *************** | ************* | **************** |
| BELMONT RACE 4 | ||||
| PG # | Horse | ML Odds | CC Odds | Betting Odds |
| 2 | Three Eighty Eight | 8/5 | 7/2 | |
| 1 | Miss Loyalty | 2 | 6 | |
| 3 | Heaven's Creation | 3 | 9/5 | |
| 4 | Stars Wilburn | 6 | 8 | |
| 5 | Emerald Quality | 10 | 6 | |
| 6 | Eight Minute Ellie | 10 | 6 | |
| ************ | ****************************** | *************** | ************* | **************** |
| BELMONT RACE 5 | ||||
| PG # | Horse | ML Odds | CC Odds | Betting Odds |
| 5 | Packed House | 2 | 9/5 | |
| 12 | Blue Skies Forever | 3 | 8 | SCRATCHED |
| 8 | Lemon Blitz | 7/2 | 7/2 | |
| 6 | Run for Boston | 6 | 20 | |
| 7 | Joe's Smokin Gun | 8 | 8 | |
| 1A | Time Expired @ | 10 | 6 | SCRATCHED |
| 1 | Neutral Zone @ | |||
| 11 | Golconda | 10 | 10 | |
| 3 | Millies Party Boy | 12 | 20 | |
| 10 | Platinum Nugget | 12 | 20 | |
| 2 | Good Old Boy | 15 | 6 | |
| 9 | Ninja Boys | 20 | 20 | |
| 4 | Decadence | 30 | 20 | |
| ************ | ****************************** | *************** | ************* | **************** |
| BELMONT RACE 6 - FUTURITY STAKES $150,000 | ||||
| PG # | Horse | ML Odds | CC Odds | Betting Odds |
| 8 | Credit Swap | 4 | 7/2 | SCRATCHED |
| 6 | Dragic | 9/2 | 4 | |
| 10 | Swamp Rat | 5 | 6 | |
| 11 | Uncle Benny | 6 | 3 | |
| 3 | Veterans Beach | 6 | 6 | |
| 2 | Joyful Heart | 8 | 10 | |
| 1 | Neverland Rock | 10 | 20 | |
| 7 | Stole E | 15 | 20 | |
| 4 | Real Money | 20 | 6 | |
| 5 | Bizzee Channel | 20 | 20 | |
| 9 | Backtohisroots | 20 | 20 | |
| 12 | Fayette Warrior | 20 | 20 | |
| ************ | ****************************** | *************** | ************* | **************** |
| BELMONT RACE 7 - FRIZETTE (G1) $400,000 | ||||
| PG # | Horse | ML Odds | CC Odds | Betting Odds |
| 6 | Covfefe | 8/5 | 6/5 | |
| 5 | Graceful Princess | 3 | 8 | SCRATCHED |
| 2 | Jaywalk | 5 | 4 | |
| 4 | Nonna Madeline | 6 | 8 | |
| 8 | Sue's Fortune | 8 | 20 | |
| 7 | Cassies Dreamer | 10 | 5 | |
| 1 | Brucia La Terra | 12 | 8 | |
| 3 | Take Me to Hardoon | 15 | 20 | |
| ************ | ****************************** | *************** | ************* | **************** |
| BELMONT RACE 8 - FLOWER BOWL (G1) $500,000 | ||||
| PG # | Horse | ML Odds | CC Odds | Betting Odds |
| 7 | Fourstar Crook | 7/5 | 7/5 | |
| 3 | Holy Helena | 3 | 4 | |
| 2 | Lady Montdore | 7/2 | 8 | |
| 1 | Onthemoonagain | 9/2 | 3 | |
| 4 | Tricky Escape | 8 | 10 | |
| 5 | Danceland | 12 | 20 | |
| 6 | Feeling Bossy | 30 | 20 | |
| ************ | ****************************** | *************** | ************* | **************** |
| BELMONT RACE 9 | ||||
| PG # | Horse | ML Odds | CC Odds | Betting Odds |
| 2 | A Thread of Blue | 7/2 | 9/5 | |
| 4 | Clint Maroon | 4 | 8 | |
| 9 | Greyes Creek | 9/2 | 4 | |
| 5 | Skychief | 5 | 7/2 | |
| 10 | Party With Friends | 8 | 4 | |
| 3 | Winning Factor | 12 | 10 | |
| 11 | Highway Flyer | 12 | 10 | |
| 12 | State of War | 12 | 20 | |
| 1 | Bad Boy | 15 | 20 | |
| 7 | Lisbon | 15 | 20 | |
| 8 | Strong One | 15 | 20 | SCRATCHED |
| 6 | Munny Thief | 20 | 20 | |
| ************ | ****************************** | *************** | ************* | **************** |