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DEL MAR "MORNING LINE AND COMMENTS" FOR SATURDAY - 8/11/2018

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  • DEL MAR "MORNING LINE AND COMMENTS" FOR SATURDAY - 8/11/2018

    CONSENSUS CHOICE
    AUGUST 11, 2018



    Here is the full card in Morning Line order. The ML can be very useful depending on the Track Morning Line maker. However, unless you handicap the races or have a basis of comparison it can be difficult to use profitability. You do have the actual betting to help guide you. Also some of the wagering platforms give you their selections for free.

    I can no longer give you my Betting Line or Selections (not by my choice). What I can give you are my Comments on the Morning Line choices. Understand that just because a horse does not receive a comment is not a negative and does not lessen his chances of winning. It only means that his odds of winning seem to be in agreement with his Morning Line. REMEMBER THAT THE TOP 3 ML HORSES OR BETTING FAVORITES USUALLY WIN 2/3 OF ALL THE RACES, SO THEY SHOULD ALWAYS BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY.

    Let me explain my terminology in the Comments column. CC HORSE is the horse I expected to be the top choice but he is not the Morning Lone Choice. While this kind of horse can be a great bet, there are times when he just builds the pot for the ML favorite. $$$ HORSE means I believe this ML Top 4 horse has an excellent chance to win shince he seems to be solidly backed by both the ML and the Pro's. OVERLAY means that this horse is well regarded by the Morning Line but the Crowd will likely overlook him and he may go off at odds higher than he should. VALUE PLAY means I feel this horse is rated too low in the Morning Line. PRICE PLAY is a horse that should exceed there odds and may be worth a small wager and should be an exotics player. LONGSHOT is a horse or horses that are 10/1 or higher in the Morning Line that I believe are "live" and have a good shot at finishing in the money and could win at a big price.

    As always, Exotic wagering is the best way to make a a big score at the track, however it can be an expensive proposition. It can be helpful to find partners to help you share the risk so you can play more combinations which give you a better chance to hit big payoffs. Whether you prefer Horizontal wagers, (DD or Pick-3.4.5.6) or Vertical wagers (Exactas, Trifectas, Superfectas or Super Hi-5's), make sure you include both highly regarded horses as well as Longshots to give you the best chance to make "Big" money. The more you follow the crowd, the smaller the payoffs.

    Good Luck!







    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** ******************
    DEL MAR RACE 1
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    6 Our Tiger's Boy 5/2
    4 Colormemoney 3
    7 Memorable Election 7/2 PRICE PLAY
    1 Don't Stalk Me 7/2
    5 Michael Mundo 6
    3 Ghostly Who 10
    2 Quad 20 LONGSHOT
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** ******************
    DEL MAR RACE 2
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    2 Lori's Attitude 5/2 $$$ HORSE
    7 Laynee 7/2
    6 Dis Smart Cat 4 OVERLAY
    3 Red Shelby 5 OVERLAY
    4 Jeweled 6 VALUE PLAY
    5 Emmy and I 6
    1 Holy Mosey 8
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** ******************
    DEL MAR RACE 3 - BEST PAL (G2) $200,000
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    1 Instagrand 1/2
    2 Owning 5/2
    4 Mason Dixon 5 OVERLAY
    5 Sparky Ville 10 LONGSHOT
    3 Synthesis 15
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** ******************
    DEL MAR RACE 4
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    1 K P's Smokin 3 $$$ HORSE
    2 Tengs Rhythm 7/2 $$$ HORSE
    5 Dianka 4 $$$ HORSE
    9 Star of Kobol 4 OVERLAY
    7 Western Mongolia 6
    3 Veiled Heat 10 LONGSHOT
    6 Stella Sweeper 12
    4 Curlina Curlina 15
    8 Eurasia 20 LONGSHOT
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** ******************
    DEL MAR RACE 5
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    6 Siberian Iris 5/2
    2 Meal Ticket 3
    3 Goseecal 7/2
    5 Jazaalah 5 OVERLAY
    1 Wind Tartare 5
    7 Beautiful Becca 8
    4 Saburai 10
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** ******************
    DEL MAR RACE 6
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    2 The Aurelia Factor 5/2
    1 Claudelle 3
    4 Calf Moon Bay 4 PRICE PLAY
    3 Lesley's Song 5 OVERLAY
    8 Vangogo 8 VALUE PLAY
    9 Be a Shero 10 LONGSHOT
    6 Shes All Woman 15
    5 Bev's Humor 15
    7 Discrete Stevie B 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** ******************
    DEL MAR RACE 7
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    1 Kodiak West 5/2
    3 Luminoso 7/2
    4 Pulpit Rider 6 PRICE PLAY
    8 Whirling 6
    9 Camino Song 6
    10 Hey Negrita 10
    2 Classy Atlantic 12 LONGSHOT
    6 Silken Spy 12
    7 Ladybug 12
    5 Smiling Tigress 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** ******************
    DEL MAR RACE 8
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    5 Braddock 5/2 $$$ HORSE
    6 Burn Me Twice 7/2
    4 Bow and Arrow 5 OVERLAY
    3 Baby Bear's Soup 6 VALUE PLAY
    2 Papa Turf 6
    7 Ninety Nine Proof 6
    1 Twirling Tiger 12
    8 Rate for Me 15
    9 Bernin Sensation 15
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** ******************
    DEL MAR RACE 9
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    2 Pursuing The Dream 7/2
    10 Highland Lass 9/2 OVERLAY
    8 Sappho 5 OVERLAY
    7 Nice Ice 6
    3 One Fast Broad 6
    5 Pacific Strike 6
    9 Dulce Ride 12 LONGSHOT
    6 Nonna Gianna 12 LONGSHOT
    1 Miraculously 12
    4 Klosters 20
    11 Sum Reward 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** ******************
    DEL MAR RACE 10
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    6 Handsome John 5/2
    4 Irish Terrier 7/2
    7 Silent Alarm 9/2 OVERLAY
    9 Warrensdirtydancer 8 VALUE PLAY
    10 Hey Sal 8
    3 Lucky General 8
    1 Red Clem 10
    8 Empirical Data 12
    2 Small Town Boy 20
    5 Cyprus Souljah 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** ******************
    Last edited by Consensus Choice; 08-11-2018, 03:44 AM.
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