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SARATOGA "MORNING LINE AND COMMENTS" FOR FRIDAY - 8/10/2018

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  • SARATOGA "MORNING LINE AND COMMENTS" FOR FRIDAY - 8/10/2018

    CONSENSUS CHOICE
    AUGUST 10. 2018


    Here is the full card in Morning Line order. The ML can be very useful depending on the Track Morning Line maker. However, unless you handicap the races or have a basis of comparison it can be difficult to use profitability. You do have the actual betting to help guide you. Also some of the wagering platforms give you their selections for free.

    I can no longer give you my Betting Line or Selections (not by my choice). What I can give you are my Comments on the Morning Line choices. Understand that just because a horse does not receive a comment is not a negative and does not lessen his chances of winning. It only means that his odds of winning seem to be in agreement with his Morning Line. REMEMBER THAT THE TOP 3 ML HORSES OR BETTING FAVORITES USUALLY WIN 2/3 OF ALL THE RACES, SO THEY SHOULD ALWAYS BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY.

    Let me explain my terminology in the Comments column. CC HORSE is the horse I expected to be the top choice but he is not the Morning Lone Choice. While this kind of horse can be a great bet, there are times when he just builds the pot for the ML favorite. $$$ HORSE means I believe this ML Top 4 horse has an excellent chance to win shince he seems to be solidly backed by both the ML and the Pro's. OVERLAY means that this horse is well regarded by the Morning Line but the Crowd will likely overlook him and he may go off at odds higher than he should. VALUE PLAY means I feel this horse is rated too low in the Morning Line. PRICE PLAY is a horse that should exceed there odds and may be worth a small wager and should be an exotics player. LONGSHOT is a horse or horses that are 10/1 or higher in the Morning Line that I believe are "live" and have a good shot at finishing in the money and could win at a big price.

    As always, Exotic wagering is the best way to make a a big score at the track, however it can be an expensive proposition. It can be helpful to find partners to help you share the risk so you can play more combinations which give you a better chance to hit big payoffs. Whether you prefer Horizontal wagers, (DD or Pick-3.4.5.6) or Vertical wagers (Exactas, Trifectas, Superfectas or Super Hi-5's), make sure you include both highly regarded horses as well as Longshots to give you the best chance to make "Big" money. The more you follow the crowd, the smaller the payoffs.

    Good Luck!







    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 1
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    4 Planet Trailblazer 2
    6 Cavallotto 3
    1 Best Surprise 7/2 OVERLAY
    2 Taruca 9/2 OVERLAY
    7 Kenyan 5 OVERLAY
    3 Quai Voltaire 12
    5 Ninetyeighttwo 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 2
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    7 Mrs Vargas 6/5
    4 Amazing Audrey 8/5 CC HORSE
    6 Secret Quality 3 OVERLAY
    5 Love to Share 4 VALUE PLAY
    1 Kickin Kimberly 8
    8 Miss Loyalty 8
    2 Red Curls 12 LONGSHOT
    9 Appreciate 15 LONGSHOT
    3 Umoveover 20
    10 Golden Vale 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 3
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    4 You Know Too 2
    3 Luz Mimi 5/2
    2 Treble 3
    1 Quick Release 5
    5 Thirteen Songs 6
    6 Always On My Mind 8 VALUE PLAY
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 4
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    7 Malibu Strings 5/2
    2 Long Gray Line 3
    6 Trustworthy 4 CC HORSE
    4 Single Gem 5
    3 Stronger 8
    1 Lookin At Blessing 8
    8 Shamsaan 10 LONGSHOT
    5 Infield Is In 15
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 5
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    3 Fierce Scarlett 5/2
    11 Mo Wheels Up 3 CC HORSE
    7 Two Shakes 3
    10 Pakhet 4
    2 Oceans of Love 8 VALUE PLAY
    9 Foggy Kitten 8
    4 Kenai Cool 8
    5 Dovey Lovey 8
    1 Dance for Daddy 10 LONGSHOT
    8 Devious Charm 15 LONGSHOT
    6 Global Exchange 15 LONGSHOT
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 6
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    6 Elios Milos 5/2
    8 Zonic 7/2
    3 Proletariat 4 OVERLAY
    2 Sicilia Mike 6 VALUE PLAY
    5 Formal Start 6
    4 Leap to Glory 8
    7 Candy Zip 10 LONGSHOT
    1 Altesino 10 LONGSHOT
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 7
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    1 Empressof the Nile 8/5
    3 Violet Blue 5/2
    6 Bengala 4 OVERLAY
    7 Lady Joan 5 OVERLAY
    2 La Manta Gris 6 VALUE PLAY
    4 Sweet Sandy 15
    5 Nyx Warrior 30
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 8
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    9 Theaterintheround 3 $$$ HORSE
    7 Cause Me Grief 4 OVERLAY
    6 She Doesn't Mind 9/2 CC HORSE
    1 Questeq 8 VALUE PLAY
    5 Front Row Debbie 8
    8 Kat O Mine 8
    13 Zenbennie 10 LONGSHOT
    3 Discreet Image 10
    4 Alley to Calvary 15 LONGSHOT
    10 Scripted 15 LONGSHOT
    2 Little Nanny 30
    11 Caitlin'satthebar 30
    12 Emerald Quality 30
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 9 - TALE OF THE CAT $100,000
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    1 My Boy Tate 6/5
    3 Silver Ride 5/2
    5 Always Sunshine 3 OVERLAY
    2 Mr. Crow 4 VALUE PLAY
    4 Pop the Hood 10 LONGSHOT
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 10
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    7 Lost in Manhattan 5/2
    6 Wisecrack 3
    10 Plebe 7/2 $$$ HORSE
    14 Tapit Tango 4
    13 Not That Brady 5
    5 Floyd Unger 8
    2 Southern Brigade 8
    3 Veterans Beach 10 LONGSHOT
    1 Analyzethisandthat @ 12 LONGSHOT
    1A Center City @
    12 Yowza Yowza Yowza 12
    4 Ro Jo 15
    11 Waynes Footsteps 15
    8 Bydawnsearlylight 20 LONGSHOT
    9 Lumberer 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    Last edited by Consensus Choice; 1 week ago.
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