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SARATOGA "MORNING LINE AND COMMENTS" FOR FRIDAY - 8/10/2018

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  • SARATOGA "MORNING LINE AND COMMENTS" FOR FRIDAY - 8/10/2018

    CONSENSUS CHOICE
    AUGUST 10. 2018


    Here is the full card in Morning Line order. The ML can be very useful depending on the Track Morning Line maker. However, unless you handicap the races or have a basis of comparison it can be difficult to use profitability. You do have the actual betting to help guide you. Also some of the wagering platforms give you their selections for free.

    I can no longer give you my Betting Line or Selections (not by my choice). What I can give you are my Comments on the Morning Line choices. Understand that just because a horse does not receive a comment is not a negative and does not lessen his chances of winning. It only means that his odds of winning seem to be in agreement with his Morning Line. REMEMBER THAT THE TOP 3 ML HORSES OR BETTING FAVORITES USUALLY WIN 2/3 OF ALL THE RACES, SO THEY SHOULD ALWAYS BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY.

    Let me explain my terminology in the Comments column. CC HORSE is the horse I expected to be the top choice but he is not the Morning Lone Choice. While this kind of horse can be a great bet, there are times when he just builds the pot for the ML favorite. $$$ HORSE means I believe this ML Top 4 horse has an excellent chance to win shince he seems to be solidly backed by both the ML and the Pro's. OVERLAY means that this horse is well regarded by the Morning Line but the Crowd will likely overlook him and he may go off at odds higher than he should. VALUE PLAY means I feel this horse is rated too low in the Morning Line. PRICE PLAY is a horse that should exceed there odds and may be worth a small wager and should be an exotics player. LONGSHOT is a horse or horses that are 10/1 or higher in the Morning Line that I believe are "live" and have a good shot at finishing in the money and could win at a big price.

    As always, Exotic wagering is the best way to make a a big score at the track, however it can be an expensive proposition. It can be helpful to find partners to help you share the risk so you can play more combinations which give you a better chance to hit big payoffs. Whether you prefer Horizontal wagers, (DD or Pick-3.4.5.6) or Vertical wagers (Exactas, Trifectas, Superfectas or Super Hi-5's), make sure you include both highly regarded horses as well as Longshots to give you the best chance to make "Big" money. The more you follow the crowd, the smaller the payoffs.

    Good Luck!








    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    BELMONT RACE 1
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    1 Asian's Way 8/5 9/5
    2 Loose 2 2
    5 Lou's Chardonnay 3 7/2
    4 Dean's Ticket 6 10
    3 Non Finisce Mai 8 10
    6 E Warfare 15 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    BELMONT RACE 2
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    6 Keota 6/5 6/5
    1 Raven's Rabbit 3 7/2
    2 No Deal 6 5
    8 Appreciate 6 8
    7 Rachel's Smokin 10 20
    5 Salt Pond 12 10
    4 Currency Chaos 12 20
    3 Paddydunalot 15 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    BELMONT RACE 3
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    7 Our Circle of Love 2 5/2
    3 Golden Award 5/2 6
    4 Circleofcompetence 9/2 7/2
    6 Sienna Blue Eyes 8 5
    2 Face It 8 6
    5 Grayjavu 10 8
    8 Mucho Glory 10 10
    1 Lady Hester 12 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    BELMONT RACE 4
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    4 Mighty Zealous 3 9/5
    7 Sudden Surprise 9/2 7/2
    10 Samadi Sky 6 6
    9 Haul Anchor 6 10
    3 Pegasus Red 6 20
    6 Sol the Freud 8 4
    1 Brimstone 8 10
    5 Ostrolenka 10 20
    8 Rectify 15 20
    2 Ro Bear 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    BELMONT RACE 5
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    4 Land Mine 7/5 8/5
    2 Cilantro 5/2 7/2
    1 Indy Union 4 3
    3 Tigalalu 9/2 10
    5 Indy's Lady 6 20
    6 Stay Fond 15 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    BELMONT RACE 6
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    14 Stoney Bennett 2 6
    6 Whatstotalkabout 3 4
    1 Frisky Magician 7/2 7/2
    15 Bavaro 7/2 20
    10 Fleet Irish 4 20
    4 Heavy Meddle 5 20
    8 Discretionary Marq 5 20
    2 We Should Talk 6 5
    9 Uncle Youdge 6 6
    13 Horoscope 6 20
    12 Psychic Energy 8 4
    7 Sword Fighter 12 10
    11 The Crocheron Kid 15 8
    3 Speightful Kitten 15 20
    5 Ethan Hunt 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    BELMONT RACE 7
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    10 Singapore Trader 2 6
    11 Flyoff 7/2 7/2
    1 Herecomesyourman 4 5
    7 Lemonist 5 5
    4 Wet Your Whistle 6 8
    13 Expert 6 20
    9 Shortlist 8 8
    6 Miles of Humor 8 20
    12 Lil Commissioner 10 20
    2 Arch of the Diver 12 3
    3 Ventry Bay 12 20
    8 Mr. Discretionary 15 10
    5 Ego 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    BELMONT RACE 8
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    5 Makin' Out 9/5 3/2
    4 Out of Orbit 5/2 3
    7 Newport Breeze 5 4
    3 Starlite Mission 6 20
    6 Gobi 8 10
    8 Flat Calm 12 8
    2 Diamond Jen Brady 12 20
    1 My Roxy Girl 15 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    BELMONT RACE 9 - BERTRAM F. BONGARD STAKES $150,000
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    5 Bankit 5/2 9/5
    1 Risp 7/2 5/2
    7 Bustin to Be Loved 9/2 7/2
    6 Just Right 5 6
    2 Poppy's Destiny 6 20
    8 Frosted Ice 6 20
    3 Bustin Hoffman 10 20
    4 Dalliance 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    BELMONT RACE 10
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    12 The Sheik of Araby 7/2 2
    2 Shamrock Kid 4 3
    11 Pirelli Tower 9/2 6
    4 Constant Knight 8 8
    6 Testy Kitten 8 8
    3 Bad Guy 8 20
    7 Jimmy Jazz 10 6
    9 Milardo 12 20
    8 Okeamo 15 20
    1 Perfect Joke 20 20
    5 Local Edition 30 6
    10 Triton's Song 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    Last edited by Consensus Choice; 09-20-2018, 11:39 PM.
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