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SARATOGA "MORNING LINE AND COMMENTS" FOR THURSDAY - 8/9/2018

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  • SARATOGA "MORNING LINE AND COMMENTS" FOR THURSDAY - 8/9/2018

    CONSENSUS CHOICE
    AUGUST 9. 2018


    Here is the full card in Morning Line order. The ML can be very useful depending on the Track Morning Line maker. However, unless you handicap the races or have a basis of comparison it can be difficult to use profitability. You do have the actual betting to help guide you. Also some of the wagering platforms give you their selections for free.

    I can no longer give you my Betting Line or Selections (not by my choice). What I can give you are my Comments on the Morning Line choices. Understand that just because a horse does not receive a comment is not a negative and does not lessen his chances of winning. It only means that his odds of winning seem to be in agreement with his Morning Line. REMEMBER THAT THE TOP 3 ML HORSES OR BETTING FAVORITES USUALLY WIN 2/3 OF ALL THE RACES, SO THEY SHOULD ALWAYS BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY.

    Let me explain my terminology in the Comments column. CC HORSE is the horse I expected to be the top choice but he is not the Morning Lone Choice. While this kind of horse can be a great bet, there are times when he just builds the pot for the ML favorite. $$$ HORSE means I believe this ML Top 4 horse has an excellent chance to win shince he seems to be solidly backed by both the ML and the Pro's. OVERLAY means that this horse is well regarded by the Morning Line but the Crowd will likely overlook him and he may go off at odds higher than he should. VALUE PLAY means I feel this horse is rated too low in the Morning Line. PRICE PLAY is a horse that should exceed there odds and may be worth a small wager and should be an exotics player. LONGSHOT is a horse or horses that are 10/1 or higher in the Morning Line that I believe are "live" and have a good shot at finishing in the money and could win at a big price.

    As always, Exotic wagering is the best way to make a a big score at the track, however it can be an expensive proposition. It can be helpful to find partners to help you share the risk so you can play more combinations which give you a better chance to hit big payoffs. Whether you prefer Horizontal wagers, (DD or Pick-3.4.5.6) or Vertical wagers (Exactas, Trifectas, Superfectas or Super Hi-5's), make sure you include both highly regarded horses as well as Longshots to give you the best chance to make "Big" money. The more you follow the crowd, the smaller the payoffs.

    Good Luck!







    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 1
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    1 Jot 5/2
    6 Molly's Party 3 CC HORSE
    8 Honorable Rose 7/2
    4 Time Warp 6
    3 Caralicious 8 VALUE PLAY
    2 Quietude 8 VALUE PLAY
    7 Miss After School 10 LONGSHOT
    5 Ok Honey 12
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 2
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    6 Brooklyn Gerty 4/5
    3 Malarkey 4 OVERLAY
    1 Free Kitty 9/2 PRICE PLAY
    7 Fingerpaint 6 CC HORSE
    2 Sacrifice 12
    4 Florida First 15
    5 Parlapiano 15
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 3
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    1 Dove Shoot 8/5
    8 The Mason Factor 5/2
    5 Cross Multiply 4 OVERLAY
    6 Surface Strike 9/2 VALUE PLAY
    3 Quintarelli 6
    2 Bunyan's Axe 10 LONGSHOT
    4 Foxie's First Pick 15
    7 Enchanted Forest 20 LONGSHOT
    9 Ed's Quick Cat 30
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 4
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    4 Single Gem 2
    7 Maimo 5/2 CC HORSE
    3 Congruity 5/2
    6 Steelersfanforlife 3
    1 Spectacular Plum 4 $$$ HORSE
    9 Year of the Kitten 5
    10 Phone Funky Munky 6 VALUE PLAY
    5 Michael Wonderful 8
    2 Flat Bill 12 LONGSHOT
    8 Espresso Caliente 15
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 5
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    9 Potomac 1/1
    3 Southeast 4 OVERLAY
    6 Desert Lights 5 OVERLAY
    7 Gio Lucky 6
    1 Flatexcel 8 VALUE PLAY
    5 Foolish Ghost 20 LONGSHOT
    2 Beyond Honor 20
    4 Buss the Bell 20
    8 Shipsandgoods 30
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 6
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    3 Secret Passage 4/5
    4 Ticonderoga 6/5 CC HORSE
    7 Aquaphobia 5/2
    2 Team Colors 5 OVERLAY
    6 King Kreesa 8
    8 Siding Spring 8
    1 Black Tide 10 LONGSHOT
    5 Aubenas 12
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 7
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    5 Pink Twist 7/5
    2 Puffery 5/2
    4 Pas de Deuce 9/2 OVERLAY
    1 My Girl Annie 5 OVERLAY
    6 Salty Smile 6
    3 Peaches and Spice 12 LONGSHOT
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 8 - NY STALLION SERIES $100,000
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    2 Goodbye Brockley 5/2
    3 Kreesie 3
    1 Byself 7/2 OVERLAY
    9 Mentality 4 OVERLAY
    12 My Roxy Girl 6
    6 Wegetsdamunnys 8
    5 Crashing Connie 12
    11 Aunt Babe 12
    4 Miss Jen 15
    7 Codrington 15
    10 Starlite Mission 20
    8 Barrel of Destiny 30
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 9
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    3 Something Joyful 3 $$$ HORSE
    1 Dreamers and Me 7/2
    7 Mama Mary 4 OVERLAY
    2 Andretta 5 $$$ HORSE
    5 Quietly Quick 8 VALUE PLAY
    10 Carrera Cat 10
    8 St Edmond's Girl 12
    9 Dorothy's Dream 15
    11 Magical Romance 20 LONGSHOT
    6 Mamma White Socks 20
    4 Ed S Queen 50
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    Last edited by Consensus Choice; 1 week ago.
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