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SARATOGA "MORNING LINE AND COMMENTS" FOR THURSDAY - 8/9/2018

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  • SARATOGA "MORNING LINE AND COMMENTS" FOR THURSDAY - 8/9/2018

    CONSENSUS CHOICE
    AUGUST 9. 2018


    Here is the full card in Morning Line order. The ML can be very useful depending on the Track Morning Line maker. However, unless you handicap the races or have a basis of comparison it can be difficult to use profitability. You do have the actual betting to help guide you. Also some of the wagering platforms give you their selections for free.

    I can no longer give you my Betting Line or Selections (not by my choice). What I can give you are my Comments on the Morning Line choices. Understand that just because a horse does not receive a comment is not a negative and does not lessen his chances of winning. It only means that his odds of winning seem to be in agreement with his Morning Line. REMEMBER THAT THE TOP 3 ML HORSES OR BETTING FAVORITES USUALLY WIN 2/3 OF ALL THE RACES, SO THEY SHOULD ALWAYS BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY.

    Let me explain my terminology in the Comments column. CC HORSE is the horse I expected to be the top choice but he is not the Morning Lone Choice. While this kind of horse can be a great bet, there are times when he just builds the pot for the ML favorite. $$$ HORSE means I believe this ML Top 4 horse has an excellent chance to win shince he seems to be solidly backed by both the ML and the Pro's. OVERLAY means that this horse is well regarded by the Morning Line but the Crowd will likely overlook him and he may go off at odds higher than he should. VALUE PLAY means I feel this horse is rated too low in the Morning Line. PRICE PLAY is a horse that should exceed there odds and may be worth a small wager and should be an exotics player. LONGSHOT is a horse or horses that are 10/1 or higher in the Morning Line that I believe are "live" and have a good shot at finishing in the money and could win at a big price.

    As always, Exotic wagering is the best way to make a a big score at the track, however it can be an expensive proposition. It can be helpful to find partners to help you share the risk so you can play more combinations which give you a better chance to hit big payoffs. Whether you prefer Horizontal wagers, (DD or Pick-3.4.5.6) or Vertical wagers (Exactas, Trifectas, Superfectas or Super Hi-5's), make sure you include both highly regarded horses as well as Longshots to give you the best chance to make "Big" money. The more you follow the crowd, the smaller the payoffs.

    Good Luck!





    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    CHURCHILL RACE 1
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    5 My Mystery 5/2 3
    2 She Loves Leather 3 5/2
    3 Erin's Wish 4 4
    8 Northern Connect 5 8
    1 Precisely Ponti 6 8
    4 Budget Cut 10 6
    6 Boohoo Sue 10 20
    7 No Partners 12 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    CHURCHILL RACE 2
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    3 Thousand Percent 8/5 8/5
    1 Dazzling Truths 3 7/2
    2 Roiland 3 8
    5 Spectacular Gem 5 7/2
    4 Lady's Weekend 6 10
    6 Say It Ain't So 12 10
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    CHURCHILL RACE 3
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    3 Mineyerownmalone 6/5 7/5
    6 Shobiz Star 2 2
    5 Aviator Parks 6 8
    1 Boxer Boy 8 10
    7 Atta Kid 8 10
    4 Blame Angel 12 8
    2 Hussar 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    CHURCHILL RACE 4
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    4 Wicked Ekati 9/5 9/5
    2 A. P. Princess 3 5
    5 Indicating 6 7/2
    9 Dixieland Punkin 6 20
    3 Skip and a Hop 8 8
    8 Franki D Oro 12 8
    1 Zodiac Princess 12 20
    7 Rhoda's Jewell 12 20
    6 Classy Justice 20 6
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    CHURCHILL RACE 5
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    8 Data Driven 3 7/2
    3 Catanova 7/2 3
    1 Forze Mau 7/2 5
    6 Wildwood Dancer 7/2 8
    7 Diamondmaze 8 5/2
    4 Conquest Hiosilver 8 10
    2 Monday Confession 12 20
    5 Junket 12 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    CHURCHILL RACE 6
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    3 All American Hero 3 7/2
    7 My America 7/2 2
    2 Lake Nakuru 4 7/2
    4 Tactical Quality 6 6
    9 And Seek 8 8
    1 Peter the Great 8 20
    12 Mr. Sarcastic 10 8
    10 Booby Trap 10 20
    11 Quicksilver 10 20
    6 D Two 12 20
    8 Quite a Bit 15 20
    14 Sarcillo 15 20
    5 Painted Canyon 20 20
    13 Tough 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    CHURCHILL RACE 7
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    4 Kaylen's Revenge 5/2 2
    1 Crimson Creed 3 2
    7 Don't Stop Maria 7/2 5
    9 Promissory Note 6 8
    3 Amberspatriot 6 10
    6 War Eagle's Love 15 10
    5 Spoofy Doo 15 20
    10 Urawesomeblossom 15 20
    2 Dyna Belle 20 20
    8 Adleress 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    CHURCHILL RACE 8
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    9 Sacred Walk 7/2 2
    7 Burciaga 4 2
    6 Wild Will 4 4
    2 Mr. Macfadden 5 8
    10 Maximum Rate 6 10
    11 Stack Em High 12 10
    1 Dixieland Rags 12 20
    5 Pistol Box 15 20
    12 Bet It All to Win 15 20
    8 Hitthegroundrunnin 20 20
    3 Colombiano 30 20
    4 Musial 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    CHURCHILL RACE 9
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    3 Lasting Legacy 3 7/5
    1 Unbridled Outlaw 7/2 6
    5 Control Stake 4 6
    6 Icatiro 4 6
    7 Spikes Shirl 5 10
    4 Town Classic 6 7/2
    2 Balandeen 8 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    CHURCHILL RACE 10
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    15 Mr. Money 3 2
    5 Cantrell Hill 3 6
    8 Claytnthelionheart 7/2 7/2
    2 Tez 4 4
    3 Just War 4 5
    10 Audubon Wood 10 20
    14 Kitten's Spa 10 20
    1 Bluegrass Parkway 12 20
    4 Fast Data 12 20
    9 Ready to Forgive 12 20
    11 Handsome Honey 12 20
    7 Coleaquilus 15 20
    6 El Ahijado 20 20
    12 Gottageauxgeauxgo 20 20
    13 Twice Please 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    Last edited by Consensus Choice; 4 weeks ago.
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