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SARATOGA "MORNING LINE AND COMMENTS" FOR WEDNESDAY - 8/8/2018

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  • SARATOGA "MORNING LINE AND COMMENTS" FOR WEDNESDAY - 8/8/2018

    CONSENSUS CHOICE
    AUGUST 8. 2018



    Here is the full card in Morning Line order. The ML can be very useful depending on the Track Morning Line maker. However, unless you handicap the races or have a basis of comparison it can be difficult to use profitability. You do have the actual betting to help guide you. Also some of the wagering platforms give you their selections for free.

    I can no longer give you my Betting Line or Selections (not by my choice). What I can give you are my Comments on the Morning Line choices. Understand that just because a horse does not receive a comment is not a negative and does not lessen his chances of winning. It only means that his odds of winning seem to be in agreement with his Morning Line. REMEMBER THAT THE TOP 3 ML HORSES OR BETTING FAVORITES USUALLY WIN 2/3 OF ALL THE RACES, SO THEY SHOULD ALWAYS BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY.

    Let me explain my terminology in the Comments column. $$$ HORSE means I believe this ML Top 4 horse has an excellent chance to win. OVERLAYmeans that this horse is well regarded by the Morning Line but the Crowd will likely overlook him and he may go off at odds higher than he should. VALUE PLAY means I feel this horse is rated too low in the Morning Line. PRICE PLAY are horses that should exceed there odds and may be worth a small wager and should be an exotics player. LONGSHOT are horses that are 10/1 or higher in the Morning Line that I believe are "live" and have a good shot at finishing in the money and could win at a big price.

    As always, Exotic wagering is the best way to make a a big score at the track, however it can be an expensive proposition. It can be helpful to find partners to help you share the risk so you can play more combinations which give you a better chance to hit big payoffs. Whether you prefer Horizontal wagers, (DD or Pick-3.4.5.6) or Vertical wagers (Exactas, Trifectas, Superfectas or Super Hi-5's), make sure you include both highly regarded horses as well as longshots to give you the best chance to make "big" money. The more you follow the crowd, the smaller the payoffs.

    Good Luck!







    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 1
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    4 Fillet of Sole 7/5
    1 Sumner 9/5
    3 Brockton George 3 OVERLAY
    6 Kenyan 6 SCRATCHED
    5 Run Bayou Bird 10 LONGSHOT
    2 Scatoga 30
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 2
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    2 Fiveinthemorning 7/2 OVERLAY
    4 Paz the Wine 4 $$$ HORSE
    3 Ailish 5
    6 Reconsider It 6
    15 Promise Me Roses 6 SCRATCHED
    5 Truly Courageous 8 VALUE PLAY
    10 Nazay 8
    13 Smart Throb 10 SCRATCHED
    14 Magical Romance 15 SCRATCHED
    9 Puffin Patty 15 LONGSHOT
    11 Lulu's Partner 15
    8 Lets Dance Some Mo 15
    12 Catania Rose 15
    1 Seattle Frost 20
    7 Uconnmarsh 30
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 3
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    4 Beautiful Buzz 2
    3 Animauxselle 5/2 $$$ HORSE
    2 She'sakittykat 3
    6 Kid Croft 5 OVERLAY
    7 Elizabeth Nicole 8 VALUE PLAY
    1 Tiffany's Vision 12 SCRATCHED
    5 Impazible Creek 15
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 4
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    7 Transistor 9/5 SCRATCHED
    2 Factor This 5/2
    8 Zap Daddy 3
    9 Jailhouse Kitten 7/2 SCRATCHED
    3 Morning Stride 9/2 VALUE PLAY
    4 Maimo 5 SCRATCHED
    10 Killeen 5
    1 On Patrol 8 VALUE PLAY
    6 Hoard 8 SCRATCHED
    5 Glass Bridge 15
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 5
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    1 Crazy Life 5/2
    9 Pier Forty 7/2 OVERLAY
    10 Doups Point 4 $$$ HORSE
    13 Kadens Courage 4 SCRATCHED
    6 Early Retirement 8 VALUE PLAY
    2 Somelikeithotbrown 8
    14 Icey Cash 8 SCRATCHED
    7 Tenminuteswithal 12 LONGSHOT
    4 Dashing Dan 12
    5 Impazible Odds 12
    12 Awesome Adversary 12 SCRATCHED
    8 The Glominator 15 LONGSHOT
    3 Taptaptap 15
    11 Tiger Man 20 SCRATCHED
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 6
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    3 Lady Bergen 6/5
    5 Camorra 5/2
    4 Baby Boss 7/2
    2 Sandy Belle 5 OVERLAY
    6 Held Accountable 10 LONGSHOT
    1 Tiznow's Smile 15
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 7
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    1 Mesotherm 8/5
    5 Flyoff 2
    9 Fuel the Bern 7/2 $$$ HORSE
    8 Tres Equis 7/2
    3 High Moon 9/2 VALUE PLAY
    7 Cape Angel 6
    2 La Maquina Gris 6
    10 Blurred Line 8
    11 Infield Is In 10
    4 The Dow 12 LONGSHOT
    6 Charnley River 12
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 8
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    1 J J's Dreaming 6/5
    2 Speke 8/5
    5 New York Hero 7/2 SCRATCHED
    3 Danny California 6 VALUE PLAY
    4 Kerry Boy 20
    6 Fullback Foye 30
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 9 - QUICK CALL STAKES $100,000
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    1 World of Trouble 3
    13 Soutache 9/2 OVERLAY
    7 Dirty 5 OVERLAY
    10 Stolen Pistol 6
    2 Majestic Dunhill 8 VALUE PLAY
    6 Shangroyal 8
    11 Coltandmississippi 8
    5 Fig Jelly 8
    12 Totally Boss 10 LONGSHOT
    4 A Different Style 20 LONGSHOT
    3 Clouded Judgement 20
    8 Like What I See 20
    9 New Legend 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    SARATOGA RACE 10
    PG # Horse ML Odds Betting Odds Comments
    8 Giant Boo Boo 3
    12 Wild Colonial Boy 9/2 $$$ HORSE
    6 American Ninja 6
    1 Abominable Snowman 6
    5 Sudden Victory 8
    10 Theresa's Boy 10 LONGSHOT
    4 Latin Love Bug 10 LONGSHOT
    3 Tamzine 12 LONGSHOT
    2 Dab 12
    9 Thefinalcrazydude 15 LONGSHOT
    7 Neutral Zone 20
    11 Golden Sequence 50
    ************ ****************************** *************** **************** **************
    Last edited by Consensus Choice; 1 week ago. Reason: SCRATCHES UPDATED
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