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SARATOGA "MORNING LINE AND COMMENTS" FOR WEDNESDAY - 8/8/2018

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  • SARATOGA "MORNING LINE AND COMMENTS" FOR WEDNESDAY - 8/8/2018

    CONSENSUS CHOICE
    AUGUST 8. 2018





    Here is the full card in Morning Line order. The ML can be very useful depending on the Track Morning Line maker. However, unless you handicap the races or have a basis of comparison it can be difficult to use profitability. You do have the actual betting to help guide you. Also some of the wagering platforms give you their selections for free.

    I can no longer give you my Betting Line or Selections (not by my choice). What I can give you are my Comments on the Morning Line choices. Understand that just because a horse does not receive a comment is not a negative and does not lessen his chances of winning. It only means that his odds of winning seem to be in agreement with his Morning Line. REMEMBER THAT THE TOP 3 ML HORSES OR BETTING FAVORITES USUALLY WIN 2/3 OF ALL THE RACES, SO THEY SHOULD ALWAYS BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY.

    Let me explain my terminology in the Comments column. $$$ HORSE means I believe this ML Top 4 horse has an excellent chance to win. OVERLAYmeans that this horse is well regarded by the Morning Line but the Crowd will likely overlook him and he may go off at odds higher than he should. VALUE PLAY means I feel this horse is rated too low in the Morning Line. PRICE PLAY are horses that should exceed there odds and may be worth a small wager and should be an exotics player. LONGSHOT are horses that are 10/1 or higher in the Morning Line that I believe are "live" and have a good shot at finishing in the money and could win at a big price.

    As always, Exotic wagering is the best way to make a a big score at the track, however it can be an expensive proposition. It can be helpful to find partners to help you share the risk so you can play more combinations which give you a better chance to hit big payoffs. Whether you prefer Horizontal wagers, (DD or Pick-3.4.5.6) or Vertical wagers (Exactas, Trifectas, Superfectas or Super Hi-5's), make sure you include both highly regarded horses as well as longshots to give you the best chance to make "big" money. The more you follow the crowd, the smaller the payoffs.

    Good Luck!







    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    SANTA ANITA RACE 1
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    8 Beautiful Becca 3 7/5
    7 Sekhmet's Revenge 7/2 8
    9 Peach Cove 4 5
    6 Believe Indeed 5 4
    4 Subic Bay 6 20
    1 Topaz Time 8 8
    5 Road Test 8 20
    2 Award It 12 10
    3 Princess Leia 15 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    SANTA ANITA RACE 2
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    5 Pleasant d'Oro 8/5 9/5
    4 Justin's Quest 2 3
    1 Pitino 5/2 5/2
    3 Holly Blame 7/2 10
    2 Super Classic 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    SANTA ANITA RACE 3
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    3 Mucho Unusual 6/5 1/1
    2 Blueberry Princess 7/2 7/2
    5 Apache Princess 4 10
    4 Don'tbeboisterous 6 8
    6 Gotta Be Lucky 6 10
    1 Cassie Belle 12 20
    7 Sedamar 15 8
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    SANTA ANITA RACE 4
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    7 Belle Monte 6/5 1/1
    2 K P's Smokin 5/2 7/2
    3 As a Rule 6 8
    1 Married by Now 8 8
    6 Jabber Now 8 20
    4 Creative Spark 12 10
    5 Garrulous Gal 20 20
    8 Lookingforthewire 20 20
    9 Complete Discreet 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    SANTA ANITA RACE 5
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    12 Thanks 3 9/5
    8 Divine Dharma 4 4
    9 Frisky Fox 5 8
    3 Curryforthree Bang 6 8
    13 Sassy Kitty 6 8
    14 Athleisure 6 20
    7 Awepollonia 10 20
    1 Sharp Image 12 20
    2 Borussia 12 20
    4 Madame Jeanette 12 20
    5 Princess Becky 12 20
    6 Portal Creek 15 5
    10 Hola Mazuma 15 8
    11 American Heart 20 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    SANTA ANITA RACE 6
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    1 Gato Del Oro 9/5 7/2
    6 Ike Walker 5/2 7/5
    2 Shivermetimbers 4 6
    4 El Huerfano 6 7/2
    5 Giant Influence 6 8
    7 Pepe Tono 8 20
    3 Ferguson 15 10
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    SANTA ANITA RACE 7
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    10 East Rand 3 9/5
    5 Worthy Turk 7/2 5
    4 Rinse and Repeat 4 7/2
    7 Souter 4 4
    3 Tidal Effect 5 10
    6 Goodwillambassador 5 20
    8 Starting Bloc 6 8
    9 Heartfullofstars 6 20
    2 Vintage Hollywood 12 20
    1 Snazzy Dresser 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    SANTA ANITA RACE 8
    PG # Horse ML Odds CC Odds Betting Odds
    8 Bartlett Hall 7/2 7/5
    6 Thefourfortyfourth 5 4
    12 Vegas Itch 6 8
    3 Victor's Show 8 8
    11 For the Hustle 8 20
    7 Supreme Giant 10 6
    13 Pulpit's Dirty Red 10 10
    2 Powerful Thirst 10 20
    4 Gotnoquit 10 20
    1 Smokin B 12 8
    5 Achieved 20 20
    9 Boogie 20 20
    10 Skagit River 30 20
    ************ ****************************** *************** ************* ****************
    Last edited by Consensus Choice; 10-04-2018, 02:22 AM.
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