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FREE FULL CARD SELECTIONS FOR NYSS AT BUFFALO RACEWAY by LIGHTNING JAY! 7-11

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  • FREE FULL CARD SELECTIONS FOR NYSS AT BUFFALO RACEWAY by LIGHTNING JAY! 7-11

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    BUFFALO RACEWAY – Wednesday, July 11, 2018


    SELECTIONS & ANALYSIS BY @LIGHTNINGJAY_


    RACE 1 - $35,166 NYSS
    4 – AMAL HALL (7/5) – Andy Miller owned daughter by Credit Winner, out of a Donato Hanover mare, just missed last week at YR while getting parked to the quarter in a 59.1 half.
    2 – SENSIBILITY (3/1) – Scott Zeron drove this daughter of Muscle Mass to a game 2nd against the choice 2 back & looks to be the main threat again.
    3 – QUINCY BLUE CHIP (2/1) – Jim Morrill Jr is only 14% with trotters, and this one does show a break in his lines .

    RACE 2 - $35,867 NYSS
    **2 – LINDY IN THE SKY (6/1) – Has displayed good speed out of the gate for a trainer who is 21% with 2yr olds. Should offer nice value!
    3 – WITH OUT A DOUBT (8/5) – Andy Miller will look to take the early double & kick off the Pick 5 with the daughter of Conway Hall. She got a little tired 2 back but will be odds on here.
    1 – GOBI PRINCESS (9/2) – The rail can be very difficult at this half mile oval for a young horse, but Zeron just needs to keep this one flat around that tricky 1st turn.

    RACE 3
    1 – SONG CHAPTER (4/1) – Just missed from the rail last week at YR. Andy Miller has a great chance to sweep the first 3 races!
    3 – RC’S LADY ROYALE (3/1) – Raced admirably from post 7 last week & defeated Song Chapter 2 back when that one had the 7 hole.
    5 – BARN BLAZE (7/2) – Easily disposed of 3 foes at this level last week, but moves to post 5 today. Trainer Steven Pratt has an unreal .554 UTR & Gregory has won 7 of his 14 drives for him! Could be a nice overlay
    2 – SPEEDY LITTLE AVA (5/1) – Modestly bred; only qualifier was ok (2:03.2) but draws well

    RACE 4
    2 – BARN TEASE (5/2) – 1st or 2nd in all 3 starts; won last week from well off the pace at YR. $10K Muscles Yankee filly from Winbak Farm is progressing nicely!
    3 – KAREN HANOVER (4/1) – Looks to be a solid 2nd choice for an outfit that does well with 2YO trotters
    5 – DEW CAN DEW (3/1) – Let’s see if Morrill can send this one and establish a spot near the front. I think she’ll be over bet in here and I’ll only use defensively
    4 – WINNING LULLABY (5/1) – Last was encouraging, but I’m not sure she’s ready to flash needed speed

    RACE 5 - $35,867 NYSS
    1 – HOT CHAPTER (5/2) – Could be a very big day for team Miller! Has speed & is proven on half mile oval at this level. Should use rail to advantage here
    3 – SAFE WORD (2/1) – Did not disappoint as the favorite last week at YR & I expect Gregory to put this one on the point
    6 – LIQUORSTOREBLUES (4/1) – Draws the outside post and will have to work to make the front, but don’t sell this daughter of Conway Hall short. These are the live overlays that you need to consider when playing Jim Morrill Jr at Bflo!

    RACE 6
    1 – BADLANDS DELIGHT (3/1) – After 2 bad posts, Morrill will look to wire these with this very consistent mare (13-20 in the money this yr)
    2 – CLASSY LANE ROSE (5/1) – Defeated top choice last week with garden trip. Will look to do the same today
    3 – LITTLE JOKE (4/1) – In great form now, receiving highest pace figures in last 2, Davis will test the top pair
    5 – HEY KOBE (8/1) – Fisher’s had success with this one from off the pace. Could spice up the exotics

    RACE 7
    2 – CONWAY DELI (4/1) – Tepid choice in nondescript group. Usually don’t like horses coming from Vernon, but appears to have a bit of gate speed & times were ok. Like the switch to Monti
    5 – CRAZY APPLEJACK (5/2) – The type of horse I like to take a stand against. Every chance to go by for top driver Bartlett last week; shows a break in her lines as well; will be a huge underlay
    3 – JIGGLYPUFF (8/1) – Was in against much better in qualifier (look at those fractions); K. Cummings deceptively good with trotters (23%); should offer a huge price!

    RACE 8
    1 –QUICKSILVERCANDY A (2/1) – 14yr old appears to have lost a step, but they’ll have to catch here from the rail
    3 – GLOW BOAT (3/1) – 1st time Morrill is a great angle here!
    4 – FIE FY FOE (4/1) – Moves inside from post 6 and is a solid play underneath

    RACE 9
    *2 – CARRICKMANNON N (5/2) – Gave up a big lead late last time. Expect Jr to be aggressive again as this one goes down the road!
    7 – KRYSTAL C (5/1) – Would expect Monti to send here on the drop in class
    1 – LARJON LAURA (7/2) – Off the scratch sick, this one moves inside and should be competitive here
    6 – BAD GLAMOUR GIRL (10/1) – Always tries; came home in 28.3 last week; nice price to use deep underneath

    RACE 10
    2 – ZERO STRESS HILARY (7/2) – Should be the speed of the speed here & finds a soft group
    4 – HEAVENLY WAY (4/1) – Always good to play the brothers 1 – 2; Should have good position from which to launch bid
    1 – CAN U BE FUN (6/1) – Nicely drawn after some bad posts. Look for this gal to come rolling late
    3 – GOLFGIRL (5/1) – The only other speed, but she just hasn’t been very sharp lately & I don’t see her getting an easy lead

    RACE 11
    6 – SMOKIN ON BY (4/1) – If she stays flat, I think Stark can repeat at a nice price
    1 – SOUTHWIND TINKER (5/1) – Again, K.Cummings is very good with trotters and this one will offer up another nice price in a wide open event
    4 – MORGANSLOVIN DREAM (2/1) – No excuses last week; still learning how to win

    RACE 12
    5 – LITTLE MYRA (7/2) – Morrill has options here, as he may want to send; just think she’ll prove best of the bunch
    4 – RED CARPET TONIGHT (5/1) – Has been sharp last 3; draws much better and gets Monti to boot!
    1 – TINKER TAXI (4/1) – Up in class, but may be the lone speed

    RACE 13
    1 – RITA’SROCKINHEAVEN (4/1) – Down in class & down the road for Morrill & co.!
    2 – DOUBLE DOWN JO (3/1) – Perrin should have this one ready to roll & looks to get a garden trip
    3 – OK GEMMA (5/2) – You’ve got Morrill, Monti & Davis lining up & neither will give an inch!

    RACE 14
    1 – CATCH THE WAVE (3/1) – It’s now or never for this guy!
    4 – LOGAN HANOVER (4/1) – Had road trouble last time & if you toss out the 8 hole trip, this one fits
    8 – ORLANDO’S EXPRESS (8/1) – On the class drop, I expect Davis to have this one charging late
    5 – CHANGE YOUR LUCK (5/1) – 7 of 15 2nd or 3rd makes this one a solid play in your exotics

    PICK 5 THOUGHTS…
    RACE 2) 2.3 / 1.2.3.5 / 2.5 / 1.3.6 / 1.2.3 - Your Cost $48

    PICK 4 THOUGHTS…
    RACE 7) ALL / 1.3 / 2 / 1 – 4 - Your cost $24

    *BEST BET
    **VALUE HORSE

    BEST OF LUCK!
    @LIGHTNINGJAY_



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